Complete list of Phillies' free agents with final predictions of who stays, who goes entering 2027

The long 2026 Philadelphia Phillies post-mortem begins. The season ended in failure. No fan or executive would have considered a Wild Card Round exit a worthy goal at the beginning of the season.

So, as the autopsy of another disappointing campaign gets underway, we must examine the most notable moving pieces ahead of the offseason. 

The Phillies have seven impending free agents this winter. In all likelihood, few will be offered deals longer than a couple of years, but correctly predicting free agency in an offseason before the CBA expires is a task as likely as winning the World Series.

Nevertheless, including Nick Castellanos’ and Taijuan Walker’s contracts, as well as a slew of dead money from released players like Zach Pop and Lou Trivino, the Phillies have approximately $93 million coming off the books.

Though the front office is unable to reshape the team entirely due to the massive contracts of Bryce Harper, Kyle Schwarber, Trea Turner, and Aaron Nola, the next iteration of this team will look more different in 2027 than 2026 did from 2025.

That said, some of the money expected to come off the books probably will return in free agency. Here is how likely we believe each free agent is to return to Philadelphia.

Complete list of Phillies free agents and predicting their fates

Alec Bohm (20% likely to re-sign, 80% likely to sign elsewhere)

It’s fitting that Bohm’s last memorable act in a Phillies uniform was to win them a playoff game. After drawing the ire of Phillies fans since 2021, Bohm’s career in Philadelphia has been tainted by what could have been. In his rookie year, he slashed .338/.400/.481. That’s the player the Phillies thought they were getting when they selected him third overall in the 2018 MLB Draft. He never reached those heights again.

After a miserable first half during which Bohm hit for a meager .215 average, he slashed .298/.369/.425 the rest of the way.

There’s a good player in there; perhaps a change of scenery away from the sometimes oppressive Philadelphia atmosphere will do him well.

Luis Arraez (30% likely to re-sign, 70% likely to sign elsewhere)

Arraez should have been the player who moved the needle for the Phillies' season. Instead, he vastly underperformed his career numbers and got injured before he could account for it in the playoffs.

The Phillies need a bat like Arraez’s. Their lineup is full of strikeout-heavy hitters and short on players with bat-to-ball skill. Re-signing Arraez would mean moving Bryson Stott off his natural second base, but Stott performed well enough in a short stint at third at the end of the season to make it a comfortable short-term move.

If Arraez’s market crumbles late in free agency, a return to Philadelphia isn’t out of the question.

Edmundo Sosa (40% likely to re-sign, 60% likely to sign elsewhere)

Ever since the Phillies traded JoJo Romero to the St. Louis Cardinals for Sosa in 2022, the Panamanian national has been among the most impactful bench players in the league. Sosa’s value doesn’t necessarily stem from his bat alone, but from his versatility. He makes it easier to play everyone else at their strongest positions.

Sosa is surely deserving of a starting job somewhere, but he clearly likes it in Philadelphia. If he’s willing to remain in a bench role, the chance he returns is high; if not, the Phillies have no space for him as a starter.

Adolis Garcia (5% likely to re-sign, 95% likely to sign elsewhere)

For what feels like the millionth time, the patented platoon corner-outfield free-agent signing didn’t pan out in 2026. Garcia may not have a market this offseason, and the Phillies theoretically could bring him back as a bench player for cheap. More realistically, Garcia goes to a smaller-market team to rebuild his value as a starter.

Tim Mayza (60% likely to re-sign, 40% likely to sign elsewhere)

Mayza authored a season worthy of down-ballot Comeback Player of the Year votes. Caleb Cotham and the Phillies' pitching coaches helped turn Mayza’s sinker into one of the best in baseball. He became one of the very few bullpen arms the Phillies could trust, and sticking with the coaching staff that helped revitalize his career at age 34 seems like a natural process. The Phillies need all the relief help they can get, and Mayza will come relatively cheap.

Jose Alvarado (1% likely to re-sign, 99% likely to sign elsewhere)

It was shocking that the Phillies exercised Alvarado’s $9 million club option for 2026 in the first place, coming off his PED suspension in 2025. The experiment didn’t work out, and Alvarado had the worst season of his 10-year Major League career. The Phillies will look for other left-handed options in the offseason, ones who have fewer command issues.

Brooks Raley (5% likely to re-sign, 95% likely to sign elsewhere)

Of the three major deadline acquisitions the Phillies made, Raley was the biggest disaster, a remarkable feat when you consider that both other players (Arraez and Caleb Killian) were injured for the postseason. For whatever reason, Raley never found any measure of consistency over his two months in Philadelphia. He was responsible for three blown saves and two losses in just 16 appearances.

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