Predicting 6 next moves the Phillies can make before Opening Day 2024

With no new major league additions to the roster throughout the offseason so far, it could mean Philadelphia Phillies fans are in store for a wild ramp-up to Opening Day.

The Phillies are coming off back-to-back NLCS appearances, including a World Series run in 2022. While there is trust and belief that the squad from last season could be effective and continue to improve going into 2024, it doesn't mean that they have to settle.

Before the beginning of the season, there are still a few things that need to get done to ensure that the Phillies continue to stay competitive not only next season but for years to come.

Here are our predictions for the Phillies' moves before Opening Day, from the probable to the possible to the unlikely.

Probable move before Opening Day: Phillies get some back-end bullpen help

A long-standing problem for the Phillies, the bullpen was very impressive in 2023, finishing 10th in bullpen ERA (4.03) and first in postseason bullpen ERA (2.20). That being said, one would expect some regression.

Last year, unproven pitchers were relied upon throughout the postseason, which led to inconsistency. Newcomers Jeff Hoffman and Orion Kerkering, who showed promise during the regular season, lapsed in October, leaving the Phillies wondering what they should've done differently.

As Dave Dombrowski has pointed out, the Phillies are still open to adding pitching depth. Bullpen arms are the most volatile, and rotational pieces are needed. A perfect fit for the bullpen in this state would be Ryne Stanek. The 32-year-old pitched for the Astros the past three seasons and was a staple out of the bullpen in their playoff runs.

Stanek boasts a career 2.70 postseason ERA and consistently ranks toward the top of the league in fastball velocity and fastball run value, according to Baseball Savant. His high energy and competitive edge seem like a good fit for Philadelphia and the fans. The right-hander has had plenty of postseason experience, something that was lacking in 2023, and can be another late-inning, high-leverage pitcher for Thomson and Caleb Cotham to weaponize.

Probable move before Opening Day: Phillies and Alec Bohm agree to a multi-year extension

This one has drawn a ton of attention from Phillies fans.

When young third baseman Alec Bohm was the only player of eight who couldn't agree to a contract before the arbitration deadline, it caused a bit of a concern. For the $600 thousand difference in asking prices ($3.4 million vs. $4 million), it doesn't make much sense to put one of your fan favorites through the wringer of the arbitration process.

The reason for doing this is the pursuit of a longer deal, covering more than just this year of arbitration, something that has been done often throughout the league, and a few times in recent Phillies history with relievers Seranthony Domínguez and José Alvarado.

Being his first year eligible for arbitration, Bohm and the Phillies will likely try to work out a deal that covers the remaining years, as well as possibly buying into free agent years. The extension will come off the back of their thoughts on highly touted prospect Aidan Miller, who likely projects to be the Phillies third baseman in a few seasons.

The Phillies have the opportunity to lock 27-year-old up for the near future or can look to turn over the reigns and use Bohm as a stop-gap type player. If an extension works out, expect for it to be in the two to three year realm, buying out the remaining arbitration seasons and giving time to Miller to develop.

Possible move before Opening Day: Phillies trade for Emmanuel Clase

Now it starts to get fun.

All offseason there have been rumors of big-name closer Emmanuel Clase leaving Cleveland. With potentially five years of team control left, the back-to-back MLB saves leader is going to draw a decent asking price.

There have been reported talks between Philadelphia and Cleveland that hit a speed bump because Cleveland's reported asking price was Justin Crawford, a top outfield prospect recently ranked No. 77 by MLB Pipeline and longtime Tampa Bay Ray Carl Crawford's son, plus more.

In his four seasons, Clase has pitched to a 2.00 ERA with a WHIP under 1.00. He's also collected 111 saves and led the MLB in games finished the past two seasons, earning him All-Star nods both years. Clase's xERA, walk rate, barrel rate, and ground ball rate all land above the 88th percentile of all major league pitchers.

A move for Clase would add that high-leverage, back end of the bullpen arm that the Phillies have been missing out on for years. The price still looks to be one of the Phillies' top five prospects, as well as some filler fringe players such as Johan Rojas, Rafael Marchán, or Griff Mcgarry. The talks could all be a setup for a big move at the Trade Deadline, or we could see another closer like Kenley Jansen become an option for the Phillies.

Possible move before Opening Day: Phillies ink Zack Wheeler to an extension

Phillies ace Zack Wheeler is entering the final year of his five-year, $118 million deal that he signed before the start of the 2020 season. Throughout the offseason, there have been whispers of extension talks from the Phillies front office.

Dave Dombrowski discussed a Wheeler extension at his end-of-year press conference in November.

"We would hope to have Zack Wheeler in our organization for years to come," Dombrowski said at the time. "He's been tremendous since he's been here, and we look at him as a real stalwart of our organization. So we would hope that he would be here for a long time."

In January, MLB insider Ken Rosenthal expressed his belief that the Phillies would extend Wheeler during spring training.

And as recently as last week, in a radio interview on SportsRadio 94WIP, Dombrowski said it's still a priority for the team to sign Wheeler to an extension before he becomes a free agent.

"Well, we would love to sign Zack today, if we could," Dombrowski said. "I think it's important that we re-sign him. He's one of the best pitchers in baseball. [I] really never get into negotiations publicly, but you can say it's important for us and we would love to get that done. I know Wheels loves it in Philadelphia, loves being part of the organization. I would say that it's a priority for us."

With no major pitching moves and a window for success open right now, it would be in the team's best interest to extend Wheeler. The 2023 Gold Glove winner has been a staple in the rotation after coming over from the Mets on what is now a cheap deal. Most likely, the team won't get the discounted price this time around.

The going rate seems to be in the upper $30 to $40 million range — a hefty asking price — but Wheeler has been one of the best pitchers in baseball since coming aboard. The 33-year-old is first in the MLB in fWAR and fourth in innings among all pitchers since 2020.

A new contract would likely be in the three- to five-year range, over $100 million total. While it may seem steep, right now is the best chance for the Phillies to contend for a championship. Unless they have other plans in mind, look for Wheeler and the Phillies to be engaged in extension talks throughout the spring.

Improbable move before Opening Day: Phillies get Jordan Montgomery, Taijuan Walker departs

The Phillies have emerged as a dark horse team in the running for two of the major free agents left on the market, Cody Bellinger and Jordan Montgomery. Both could fill specific holes for the team, but adding one of last season's postseason heroes would catapult the Phillies rotation into conversations about the best in the league.

It's an unlikely option, but it would be a no-brainer if the Phillies can land a pitcher of Montgomery's caliber for a short-term deal. Dombrowski recently said, yet again, that he's happy with the rotation but isn't closing the door on a late addition.

Last season between St. Louis and Texas, the 31-year-old pitched to a 3.20 ERA over 188 innings. Montgomery consistently has low walk rates, only having more than three walks per nine innings in one season of his career. The long-time Yankee likely would slot into the rotation as the No. 3 starter. That would slide another postseason hero, Ranger Suárez, down to No. 4 and potentially make Taijuan Walker expendable.

Walker, 31, is coming off his first season with the Phillies, pitching in 31 games and allowing a 4.38 ERA over 172 innings. After not building enough trust with the staff after a lackluster regular season with countless slow starts to ball games, Walker was left out of every postseason game, not making one appearance in 2023.

Adding a pitcher the caliber of Jordan Montgomery would vastly increase the Phillies' pitching staff and would stamp their place as one of the favorites in the MLB. But if Dombrowski and the front office make this move, it would be in their best interest to explore trade options for Walker and his $50 million due over the next three seasons.

A trade scenario for Walker would need to consist of a team that is somewhat competitive, looking for a back-end rotation starter and wouldn't feel the stress of taking on the $54 million remaining on his contract. Attaching a mid-level prospect to the right-hander could increase his value to the point where a team like the Marlins or the Brewers might be willing to pull the trigger on a deal.