Phillies vs. White Sox prediction and odds for Monday, April 17 (Expect another big game from the Philly offense)

Pittsburgh Pirates center fielder Brandon Marsh (16)
Pittsburgh Pirates center fielder Brandon Marsh (16) / David Kohl-USA TODAY Sports


It has been a very up and down start for the Philadelphia Phillies who find themselves at 6-10 after splitting a four-game series in Cincinnati. On Saturday, they suffered a 13-0 loss and yesterday they won 14-3. Now, they’re heading up to Chicago to face the White Sox for three-games. Chicago is also 6-10 and have yet to win a series this year. 

For Game 1, we have two veteran right-handers with Zack Wheeler starting for the Phils and Lance Lynn going for the Sox. Wheeler is 0-1 with a 4.02 ERA and Lynn is 0-1 with a 7.31 ERA. 

Despite the rollercoaster first month, with more valleys than peaks, the Phillies are road favorites in this one. 

Phillies vs. White Sox odds, run line and total

Phillies vs. White Sox prediction and pick

It has been a tough start for the Phillies and there might be a little bit of a World Series (appearance) hangover. However, the offense is still very good right now. The Phillies are second in the MLB in OPS, .812, but somehow they are only 11th in runs scored.

They have only hit 15 home runs on the year, which is a problem, but their young players, Bryson Stott, Alec Bohm, and Brandon Marsh have the three highest OPS of their everyday players and that’s given them a big boost. The offense shouldn’t have any problems against Lance Lynn today. 

Lynn has always been a fastball pitcher, but lately he’s reduced his usage some because the pitch is in the 19th percentile in velocity and is not very effective. His four-seamer, which he throws 40% of the time, the most of any of his pitches have an expected slugging percentage of .816 and a wOBA of .545. Brandon Marsh registers as top 10 hitters in baseball against four-seam fastballs this season with a run value of 5 against the pitch. Nick Castellanos has a run value of 3 against fastballs which is 25th in baseball.

The Phillies are a good fastball hitting team and despite Lynn’s high strikeout rate this year, he’s a well below average pitcher and Philadelphia should win big. 

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE

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