Phillies vs. Diamondbacks prediction and odds for NLCS Game 3

How to bet Game 3 of the NLCS between the Philadelphia Phillies and Arizona Diamondbacks.

Oct 16, 2023; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Bryce Harper (3)
Oct 16, 2023; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Bryce Harper (3) / Kyle Ross-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies blitzed the Arizona Diamondbacks in the first two games of the NLCS, jumping out to a 2-0 series lead as the team looks to win a second straight pennant.

The series flips to Arizona, where the Phillies stand to take a commanding 3-0 series lead with Ranger Suarez on the mound as a road favorite. The Diamondbacks will counter with rookie Brandon Pfaadt, who will try to slow down this scorching Phillies offense.

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Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds, run line and total

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks prediction and pick

Suarez battled an early season injury but has rounded into form for Philadelphia down the stretch of the season and has only allowed four hits and one earned run across 8.2 innings between two starts this postseason.

However, the left hander has had a short leash on the mound this postseason, pitching no longer than five innings in either start, which will put some pressure on the Phillies bullpen.

It's worth noting that Philadelphia's bullpen has been riding high this postseason, posting a 1.09 ERA as a unit so far this season, but has a 4.61 xFIP, meaning that the group of pitchers has been fairly lucky this postseason.

Arizona has only played one postseason game at home this season due to the scheduling and its hot run from the Wild Card game, but the team hit .260 at Chase Field this season, and I expect the team to get the bats going at home to get back in the series against a bullpen that has been skating by this postseason to date.

Meanwhile, the Phillies should stay hot at the plate against Pfaadt. He has had a short leash this season, allowing seven hits and three earned runs across 2.1 innings in the Wild Card round against the Brewers before pitching 4.1 innings of shutout baseball against the Dodgers.

However, if Pfaddt doesn't pitch about half the game, a lot of pressure will fall on the D-Backs bullpen that has a 3.51 ERA as a unit this season.

I'll take the over as the series shifts to Arizona.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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