The Milwaukee Brewers took the opening game of their three-game set with the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday, but they find themselves as home dogs on Saturday.
That’s because the Phillies have a major advantage on the mound with Aaron Nola set to start against Milwaukee’s Colin Rea.
While the Phillies are a near lock to earn a wild card spot in the National League, the team still needs to close the season strong to earn the No. 1 spot. That starts with beating a potential playoff team in the Brewers, who are leading the NL Central by 3.5 games.
Phillies vs. Brewers probable pitchers for Saturday, Sept. 2
- Phillies: Aaron Nola (righty) – 12-8, 4.30 ERA
- Brewers: Colin Rea (righty) – 5-5, 5.11 ERA
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Here are the odds and my best bet for this matchup:
Phillies vs. Brewers odds, run line and total
Phillies vs. Brewers prediction and pick
This will be Rea’s first outing since Aug. 4 when he allowed six earned runs on eight hits in a loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Rea has not been good in 2023, posting a Fielding Independent Pitching of 5.07, and he should struggle against a Phillies offense that is No. 1 in Major League Baseball in OPS over the last 15 days.
2023 hasn't been the best season for Nola either, but he posted a 3.68 ERA in five August starts, including tossing 14.0 innings of two-run ball over his last two starts.
The Phillies are also one of the best teams in the league as road favorites this season (22-15) while the Brewers are just 10-10 when set as underdogs at home.
I trust Nola to pitch well enough for the Phillies to earn the win here.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
Find Peter Dewey's betting record here.