Mariners vs. Phillies prediction and odds for Wednesday, April 26 (Avoid Philadelphia's bullpen)

Apr 23, 2023; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies second baseman Bryson Stott
Apr 23, 2023; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies second baseman Bryson Stott / Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies are just 11-13 on the season, but you wouldn't think so if you looked at their offensive numbers.

Tonight, they'll look to get back on track when they take on the Seattle Mariners in the second matchup of a three-game interleague set. The Mariners won the opening game of the series by a final score of 5-3 on Tuesday night.

Let's dive into the odds for the game and then I'll give you my best bet.

Mariners vs. Phillies odds, run line, and total

Mariners vs. Phillies prediction and pick

Logan Gilbert (3.57 ERA) will get the start for the Mariners tonight, taking on Taujuan Walker (3.80 ERA) of the Phillies. With the two pitchers posting similar numbers this season, let's take a look at where the edge lies offensively.

The Phillies have the 5th best OPS in the Majors against right-handed pitchers, a huge advantage over the Mariners who come in at 19th with an OPS of .698. Philadelphia is averaging only 4.46 runs per game this season, but based on its OPS, the Phillies will see some positive regression in that area.

The Phillies biggest weakness is their bullpen, sporting one of the worst bullpen ERAs in the Majors at 5.18. Meanwhile, the Mariners have a huge advantage in this area coming in at 3.21 when it comes to bullpen ERA.

So, we should try to avoid the Phillies bullpen and we can do exactly that by betting on Philadelphia's first five moneyline. That's exactly what I'm going to do.


Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.