3 Phillies starting pitcher trade options if Aaron Nola leaves, and 1 starter to avoid

How would the potentially available starters on the market fit in Philadelphia? Who should the Phillies stay away from?
Corbin Burnes of the Milwaukee Brewers could be a trade target for the Philadelphia Phillies
Corbin Burnes of the Milwaukee Brewers could be a trade target for the Philadelphia Phillies / Michael McLoone-USA TODAY Sports
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Tyler Glasnow, TBR

Tampa Bay Rays starter Tyler Glasnow, like Burnes, has one year of control left and is in line for a substantial pay raise next season, up to $25 million. He'll hit free agency after the 2024 season.

The 6-foot-8 righty has always had tantalizing stuff, but his career has been marred by injuries.

He recorded a career-high 120 innings pitched in 2023. Before that, his high mark was 111 2/3 innings in 2018. He has dealt with forearm and elbow problems, having Tommy John surgery in 2021. He has also had oblique and back issues since then.

Despite the health concerns, in 21 starts this season, Glasnow pitched to a 3.53 ERA — although his FIP (2.91) and xFIP (2.75) were much lower — and registered 162 (!) strikeouts in his 120 innings.

His 12.15 K/9, 33.4 percent strikeout rate, 25.8 percent K-BB rate, and 3.08 SIERA all rank second in the majors behind Atlanta's Spencer Strider among pitchers with at least 120 innings pitched in 2023. And that previously mentioned 2.75 xFIP? It was the best in the majors among the same group of starters, with 120 innings.

Combine his strikeout ability and his 51.2 percent ground ball rate, and you have a pitcher seemingly perfectly designed to pitch at hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park.

While Glasnow will be made available by the Rays, Dombrowski and general manager Sam Fuld might opt to stay away from the 30-year-old. Although his injury history could deter many teams from throwing their hat in the Glasnow sweepstakes, it may also suppress his trade cost and make it a worthwhile gamble for one season.