2 players the Phillies should extend next, 1 extension they should avoid
The Philadelphia Phillies are a team that has made a ton of free agent splashes in recent memory but have failed to develop and extend their own players. When thinking of the best players on the team we think of guys like Bryce Harper, Zack Wheeler, Trea Turner Kyle Schwarber, and J.T. Realmuto. All of these players were signed in free agency or acquired in a trade.
Two of the last three extensions the Phillies have signed have gone very poorly. In 2016 Odubel Herrera signed a five-year extension worth $30.5 million. Herrera was a promising player when the extension was signed, but the domestic violence incident and poor play have made that extension a disaster. He was finally DFA'd last season.
Scott Kingery signed a six-year extension worth $24 million before he even played a MLB game. He appeared in one inning last season as a defensive replacement and hasn't played regularly for the Phillies since 2019. The bad extensions shouldn't be a deterrent from the Phillies pursuing ones with two of these three players.
1) The Phillies need to find a way to extend Aaron Nola
Was the Postseason a good showing for Aaron Nola? Definitely not. Has he gotten off to a good start in 2023? Nope. The Phillies should still do everything in their power to keep Aaron Nola in Philadelphia for the long haul.
I know that talks have been called off between the two sides, but he is absolutely a player the Phillies should be doing everything in their power to keep.
Nola is a free agent this offseason. He's actually the most recent player they've extended and boy, have they gotten their money's worth. That four-year deal worth $45 million turned out to be extremely team friendly. They got this done after his Cy Young-caliber 2018 season, and he's been a frontline starter ever since with the exception of a rough year in 2021.
Nola has his deficiencies. It feels like when he gets into a bit of trouble or when something bad happens behind him he spirals out of control. Still, when right, he's one of the game's best pitchers.
Last season he had a 3.25 ERA in 32 starts and 205 innings pitched. He finished fourth in the NL Cy Young balloting. It was his third top-seven finish since the 2018 season. He's established himself as a top 5-10 pitcher in the National League.
An extension won't be team-friendly, especially since it'll have to come after the season. Nola is 29 years old and should be here for another 6-7 years at the front of this rotation.
2) The Phillies should extend Bryson Stott before he becomes expensive
Bryson Stott had a very rough first half of his rookie season before blossoming right before our eyes down the stretch. In the second half of the season, he slashed .276/.331/.404 with four home runs and nine stolen bases. He won't ever be a huge power hitter, but Stott can hit at the top of this order for a long time while being a fixture alongside Trea Turner in the middle infield.
Stott took this momentum from the second half and has been even better to begin the 2023 season. He had a hit in each of the first 17 games the Phillies played this season which is the longest streak for any Philadelphia player in the modern era to begin a season. He went hitless in the second game of their doubleheader in Chicago to snap that streak.
He's hitting .363 with an .845 OPS in the first 18 games of the season. It's been quite the start for the Phillies second baseman.
Obviously as a second-year player the Phillies are under no major obligation to get this done, but extending him through his arbitration years and a couple of years into free agency makes a ton of sense. He is the second baseman of the future and is already a core piece of this team. These kinds of extensions for young players have become more common now with the Braves setting the trend. A team-friendly deal for Stott has the potential to look really good in a couple of years.
3) The ACL injury made a Rhys Hoskins extension impossible for the Phillies
Rhys Hoskins likely wasn't going to be extended anyway, but now that he's out for the season with a Torn ACL it's pretty much 100% confirmed. Is it possible Hoskins is back in 2024? Sure. But an extension before he hits free agency is out the window at this point.
Hoskins is what he is. He's a streaky hitter who can hit 30+ home runs for you. He's a good clubhouse guy and a good leader. No Phillies fan will forget that bat spike anytime soon. He had plenty of big moments in the postseason after enduring so many disappointing seasons in his career.
Hoskins is also a poor defender at first base and will likely earn more money than he's realistically worth. Darrick Hall is unproven but finding power at first base isn't hard. Especially players who can hit for power at CBP.
There's a very good chance Hall can be a 20-30 homer guy if he can stay healthy. There're also always options in free agency and in a trade. First basemen aren't super hard to find. The same can't be said about a middle infielder like Stott.
The Phillies can approach Hoskins after the season and see what it'd take for him to stay. Doing it now while he's injured with a chance of a setback or anything bad happening wouldn't be wise.
This felt like it could've been Hoskins' swan song as a member of the Phillies and this injury just makes it more likely in my eyes. An extension won't happen nor should it.