5 Bold predictions for the 2022 Phillies

PHOENIX, ARIZONA - AUGUST 18: Ranger Suarez #55 of the Philadelphia Phillies delivers a first inning pitch against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on August 18, 2021 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images)
PHOENIX, ARIZONA - AUGUST 18: Ranger Suarez #55 of the Philadelphia Phillies delivers a first inning pitch against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on August 18, 2021 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images)
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Predicting what will happen to the Philadelphia Phillies in 2022

With the MLB offseason stalled due to the lockout, it’s hard to envision the 2022 season. There’s so much we don’t know; will it start on time, will there be a Universal DH, what new rules will Rob Manfred make? The possibilities are endless!

But the good news is that with the future so murky and up in the air, the predictions about what might happen can be bolder than ever.

Here are five bold predictions for the 2022 Philadelphia Phillies

1. The Phillies will end their playoff drought… as a Wild Card team

In 2021, the Phillies cemented a decade without postseason play. And across the division, the Atlanta Braves won the World Series, further rubbing the decade of frustration in the Phillies’ faces.

Being bold isn’t being unrealistic; it’s hard to see them toppling the defending champions in 2022, but they could very well go toe-to-toe with the recently-upgraded New York Mets for their very first Wild Card berth.

The Phillies have never earned a Wild Card spot in its original or expanded play-in game form, but if Dave Dombrowski comes out of the lockout spending like there’s no tomorrow, he could build yet another postseason team.

PHILADELPHIA, PA – JULY 16: Ranger Suarez #55 of the Philadelphia Phillies smiles prior to the game against the Miami Marlins during Game One of the doubleheader at Citizens Bank Park on July 16, 2021 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Phillies defeated the Marlins 5-2. (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images)
PHILADELPHIA, PA – JULY 16: Ranger Suarez #55 of the Philadelphia Phillies smiles prior to the game against the Miami Marlins during Game One of the doubleheader at Citizens Bank Park on July 16, 2021 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Phillies defeated the Marlins 5-2. (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images) /

2. Ranger Suárez will be a Cy Young contender

Bryce Harper thought that Ranger Suárez should’ve been the NL Comeback Player of the Year this year, and the pitcher certainly wasn’t talked about enough. He was virtually flawless from start to finish, or rather, from finish to start, as he made a stunning transition from the bullpen to the rotation midway through the season.

Suárez had a 1.12 ERA over 27 relief appearances when Joe Girardi moved him to the starting rotation for the first time since his rookie season in 2018. It was a huge gamble, but Suárez rose to the occasion, making 12 starts between August 2 and the end of the season. He posted a 1.51 ERA over 65 2/3 innings as a starter, going deeper into games with every start, until he pitched a complete-game shutout in his penultimate start on September 25.

Almost no one was talking about the incredible 2021 Suárez had, which could be an advantage to him going into 2022. With Zach Eflin rehabbing from surgery and starting pitching not on the front office’s shopping list, Suárez likely going to stay in the rotation this coming season. If he continues to pitch as well as he did last year, he’s going to finally garner the attention he deserves.

Philadelphia Phillies infielder Alec Bohm (28) Mandatory Credit: Kyle Ross-USA TODAY Sports
Philadelphia Phillies infielder Alec Bohm (28) Mandatory Credit: Kyle Ross-USA TODAY Sports /

3. Alec Bohm will have a major bounce-back season

New Phillies hitting coach Kevin Long comes to the organization with the distinction of totally transforming Kyle Schwarber’s swing last year.

Schwarber had arguably the best season of his career, and his performance (including 16 home runs in18 games in June) is something the Phillies are definitely hoping Long can do for struggling hitters, especially Alec Bohm.

Bohm was the NL Rookie of the Year runner-up in 2020 but struggled immensely in 2021. By the second half of the season, he was benched and sent to Triple-A.

But there are a few signs that Bohm will turn things around in 2022. Bohm had a higher percentage of hard-hit balls in his sophomore season, up to 49.8% from 46.8%. His hits had a higher exit velocity, too, up to 92 mph from 90.2.

There’s a lot of room for improvement, but there’s also reason to believe Bohm can be a major contributor to the team in 2022.

NEW YORK, NY – JUNE 26: Manager Joe Girardi #25 of the Philadelphia Phillies in action during a game against the New York Mets at Citi Field on June 26, 2021 in New York City. The Mets defeated the Phillies 4-3. (Photo by Rich Schultz/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NY – JUNE 26: Manager Joe Girardi #25 of the Philadelphia Phillies in action during a game against the New York Mets at Citi Field on June 26, 2021 in New York City. The Mets defeated the Phillies 4-3. (Photo by Rich Schultz/Getty Images) /

4. Joe Girardi will get his 2023 option picked up

So much of what’s gone wrong with the Phillies over the last two years isn’t Joe Girardi’s fault. Many of the Phillies’ problems predate Girardi, and there’s a lot beyond his control; after all, he can only do his best with the players he’s given by the front office.

But with a revamped coaching staff, new bullpen arms in Kent Emanuel and Corey Knebel, and hopefully, many more signings after the lockout ends, the Phillies could have a chance to surprise everyone in 2022. If Girardi leads them to another winning season – 2021 was their first since 2011 – the Phillies might see fit to pick up his option for 2023.

Of course, Dave Dombrowski might just be running out the clock on Girardi’s contract so that he can hire a manager of his choosing after next season.

Bryson Stott #73 of the Philadelphia Phillies (Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images)
Bryson Stott #73 of the Philadelphia Phillies (Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images) /

5. Bryson Stott will make the Opening Day roster

This one is both extremely bold and not at all bold. Here’s why:

Dave Dombrowski explicitly told Bryson Stott that he should come to Spring Training with the goal of earning a spot on the big-league squad.

However, Didi Gregorius is owed over $15M in the final year of his contract, and the Phillies have yet to find someone to take him off their hands. They probably won’t, given his 2021 struggles and longtime defensive shortcomings. While Dombrowski did say that Gregorius is not guaranteed the starting spot at shortstop after how 2021 played out, that’s also quite a lot of money to just leave on the bench.

Then again, Stott would make the major-league minimum, so tacking on another $570,500 isn’t exactly going to put them in luxury tax territory.

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