+/- 175.5 hits for Jean Segura
George (Over): I don’t think Phillies fans appreciate how good Jean Segura is and how big of a piece he will be for many, many years. All the guy does is hit and find holes in defenses, making shifts virtually worthless. This trade is arguably the biggest of the offseason because it opened up so many options for Philadelphia, and it should pay off big time.
I can see how someone would take the under one this because Segura has only had one season with more than 180 hits. In his lone season with Arizona Segura led the league with 203 hits and other than that he’s had anywhere between 126-178 hits in a season.
The way this lineup is built with Bryce Harper likely hitting behind him, I see Segura getting a lot of good pitches to hit.
John (Over): While the Phillies had plenty of players last year who could get on base consistently, they lacked someone who could be counted on to get a hit when they needed it. Maikel Franco had the best batting average at .270; Jorge Alfaro was the only other player to hit above .260.
With Segura on board, the team now has someone who can reliably get hits. He is a career .287 hitter and has cleared the .300 mark in each of the last three seasons. Ben Revere was the last Phillie who hit .300 back in 2014.
If Segura plays all season, he will clear 175.5 hits easily. He had 178 hits last year playing in 144 games; he led the league with 203 hits when he played 153 games in 2016. You could set this line even higher and I’d probably still take the over.